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To reverse a decade of damaging overall element performance, local labour market policy is moving from simple task creation to handling active workforce transitions. Federal governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to gear up workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style paths are becoming more common as firms incorporate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil prices forecasted to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local federal governments are heightening their focus on expense discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, utilities, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While loaning through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to money strategic deficits, the focus remains on enhancing non-oil revenue frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and strategy partner Jing Teow stated: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now concentrated on delivery. In 2026, the concern is strengthening financial resilience through more safe and secure trade and investment relationships, efficient AI release, managed workforce transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more tough and fragmented global environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's financial expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, durable domestic need and restored financial investment momentum, according to the most current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to surpass most global regions peers next year, with regional GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to broaden by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Oil incomes will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will remain a significant contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by commercial growth and policy reforms, including alleviated foreign ownership guidelines that aim to stimulate further financial investment. The fiscal deficit is forecasted to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil costs, while the current five-year lease freeze in Riyadh aims to alleviate inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also placed for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourist, trade and monetary services stay essential development motorists, supported by population development and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to get once again in the 2nd half of 2026, matching continuous financial investment in infrastructure, technology and international trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has come in building diverse, resilient and globally competitive economies.
Key Middle East Market Research Insights for 2026Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Financial Expert and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is gaining rate, supported by robust demand and increasing financial investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from strong domestic basics, a sharp uplift in government costs and continual diversification efforts.
What identifies 2026 from preceding years is not merely the acceleration of technological change, though that velocity is real, however rather a fundamental shift in how business envisage their GCCs' purpose. The is expected to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this growth masks a more extensive change.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss responsibility, and add to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal start-ups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with global service results. This shift from execution to ownership represents maybe the single most substantial strategic recalibration in the GCC design's evolution.
Today, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining financiers, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the region, and what follows, including the growth and continuous advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in worldwide networks of capital and trade.
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