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Analysing New GCC Research for Future Growth

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Company news and financial news, analysis, opinion and data covering the 6 Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Economic growth across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to accelerate in 2026, with the region projected to outperform its 2025 performance in spite of muted oil incomes and continuous worldwide uncertainties. According to a brand-new Oxford Economics research study rundown, GCC GDP growth is expected to rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, reflecting a resistant nonenergy sector, strong customer characteristics, and slowly improving oil output.

The most current projections recommend that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to restore momentum, buoyed by reinforcing domestic demand and a broadly consistent global background. The report highlights GCC customers as a significant motorist of the region's economic performance heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine non reusable earnings are expected to fuel a surge in consumer spending across the Gulf.

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Credit growth is likewise anticipated to remain raised as access to financial services broadens. With GCC central banks anticipated to follow awaited United States Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, borrowing costs are most likely to decrease, offering families and companies even more incentive to spend and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the region's durability, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook provides a combined photo.

Emerging Future Trends Shaping the 2026 GCC Market

This might weigh on firsthalf growth, particularly for economies more based on oil extraction. Oxford Economics projects a rebound later on in 2026, with Opec+ members anticipated to resume raising production as stocks tighten up and global need enhances. Qatar, meanwhile, stands apart as a regional outperformer, with considerable growths in gas production and exports expected to raise its total economic efficiency.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget plan expects a 6 per cent cut in capital expense as the kingdom aims to narrow its financial deficit by two portion points. The report keeps in mind that these cuts may not materialise completely if countercyclical spending procedures are activated to support development. By contrast, more varied economies such as the UAE and Qatar are anticipated to continue advancing their development programs.

Regardless of shortterm threats tied to oil prices and international demand, the GCC's 2026 financial outlook is defined by strength in fundamentals: durable customers, robust nonenergy sectors, enhancing oil dynamics, and strategic fiscal preparation. With these factors lining up, the area is preparing for one of its most well balanced periods of growth in the last few years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP development.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council local economies are anticipated to stay durable in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly consistent worldwide economy, according to an analysis. In its newest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the genuine gdp of the GCC area is anticipated to broaden by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the forecasted 4 percent this year.

We anticipate GCC growth will rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center stated that economic growth in the region is set to speed up to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by broadening non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of total GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the region's ongoing progress toward diversity. According to Oxford Economics, GCC consumers will be standout entertainers in 2026 and are expected to surpass their global peers. Oxford Economics stated that low inflation has assisted protect growth in genuine disposable earnings, which has also been supported by strong demand and extremely low unemployment rates."We do not visualize any let-up, as federal governments continue to promote higher foreign direct financial investment in their push to diversify their economies away from oil and gas," the report included.

In December, the IMF even more said that headline inflation is expected to remain below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and somewhat above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit development is expected to stay elevated in the GCC area throughout 2026, as access to financial services is expected to grow and loaning is projected to be supported by additional cuts in rate of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the US dollar, GCC reserve banks are anticipated to follow the United States Federal Reserve by alleviating financial policy further, which in turn will reduce debt servicing costs and boost non reusable earnings and need," said the report.